TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155644
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Martyniuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511811131111686
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-6
Point 90 set 5, 8-6 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 73.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 9–4 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1581 vs Lipeiko 1393
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 80% vs Lipeiko 60%
Martyniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 90% vs Lipeiko 60%
Martyniuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +2 · Lipeiko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 1.36 / Lipeiko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Martyniuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155644
Martyniuk1.36
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Lipeiko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 47 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk7wins
AwayLipeiko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk71.4%5 of 7
AwayLipeiko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk7Lipeiko3n = 10Martyniuk took 7 of 10
S2Martyniuk8Lipeiko2n = 10Martyniuk took 8 of 10
S3Martyniuk8Lipeiko2n = 10Martyniuk took 8 of 10
S4Martyniuk2Lipeiko4n = 6Lipeiko took 4 of 6
S5Martyniuk1Lipeiko2n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukLipeikoM − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.932.2+8.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 331 vs 246 / 51352.9%48%175 / 331 vs 246 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukMartyniuk 1.36/Lipeiko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 08:35A. Martyniuk331111113O. Lipeiko228770
WAug 25 · 11:10A. Martyniuk331111113O. Lipeiko198470
WAug 14 · 12:50A. Martyniuk46101111143O. Lipeiko331227121
LJul 23 · 08:35A. Martyniuk381171191O. Lipeiko4381113113
LJul 17 · 08:35A. Martyniuk501011118102O. Lipeiko48128511123
WJun 23 · 20:40A. Martyniuk46111311113O. Lipeiko28515621
WMay 7 · 16:40A. Martyniuk331111113O. Lipeiko197750
LApr 28 · 08:00A. Martyniuk4311117952O. Lipeiko42451111113
WMar 7 · 16:20A. Martyniuk331111113O. Lipeiko198650
WJan 19 · 10:35A. Martyniuk5411111110113O. Lipeiko4913881282
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 19 · 15:00A. Martyniuk1.4091111103E. Populovskyi2.75117681WSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 19 · 12:00A. Martyniuk1.5068140S. Baranskyi2.501111163WSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113WSep 15 · 08:05O. Osadchyi4.001011651A. Martyniuk1.2212611113WSep 15 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.4411119113E. Populovskyi2.63991171WSep 15 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.634880A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi3.756990A. Martyniuk1.251111113WSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk1.33111179123A. Kurtenko3.25581111102
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Lipeiko
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