Andrii Martyniuk vs Serhii Baranskyi 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13155599

Played Sep 19Finished

Andrii Martyniuk

Home

1.50

At publish

Won last 8

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 8

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

6118111416––––

Serhii Baranskyi

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 7

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 7

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Andrii Martyniuk to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Serhii Baranskyi below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 14-16

Point 66 set 3, 14-16 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 54.0%

66 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:12

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Martyniuk

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Martyniuk 1573 vs Baranskyi 1425

Martyniuk

Wrong

both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Martyniuk 100% vs Baranskyi 100%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Martyniuk 80% vs Baranskyi 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Martyniuk +8 · Baranskyi +7

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Martyniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Baranskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMartyniuk 1.50 / Baranskyi 2.50

Signal prob.63% / 37%

Edge (Martyniuk)+0.8pp

Setka Cup · #13155599

Martyniuk1.50

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 8

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite62% won 59 of 95

Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40

Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62

Baranskyi2.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 7

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog42% won 14 of 33

Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMartyniukBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 330 vs 106 / 20052.7%53%174 / 330 vs 106 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Martyniuk

Martyniuk 1.50/Baranskyi 2.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

63.3%

Martyniuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Baranskyi won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Martyniuk10