TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130870
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012116611511––
Andrii Martyniuk
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Martyniuk to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Andrii Martyniuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Martyniuk at 78.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 0–8 Andrii Martyniuk Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Martyniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Martyniuk
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1516 vs Martyniuk 1520
Martyniuk
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 40% vs Martyniuk 100%
Martyniuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 50% vs Martyniuk 80%
Martyniuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi +2 · Martyniuk +5
Martyniuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Martyniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martyniuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 4.00 / Martyniuk 1.22
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Martyniuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13130870
Osadchyi4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 101 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Martyniuk1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 56 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it70% 41 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOsadchyi0wins
AwayMartyniuk8wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMartyniuk leads 8–0, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMartyniuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi2Martyniuk6n = 8Martyniuk took 6 of 8
S2Osadchyi2Martyniuk6n = 8Martyniuk took 6 of 8
S3Osadchyi0Martyniuk8n = 8Martyniuk took 8 of 8
S4Osadchyi3Martyniuk1n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
S5Osadchyi0Martyniuk3n = 3Martyniuk took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricOsadchyiMartyniukO − MBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match27.439.4−12.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiMartyniukBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 857 vs 171 / 32751.3%52.3%440 / 857 vs 171 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartyniukOsadchyi 4.00/Martyniuk 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Martyniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Martyniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi246990A. Martyniuk331111113
LAug 29 · 18:30O. Osadchyi34117881A. Martyniuk3631111113
LAug 11 · 05:30O. Osadchyi176470A. Martyniuk331111113
LAug 5 · 07:35O. Osadchyi94320A. Martyniuk331111113
LJul 22 · 11:35O. Osadchyi4051181152A. Martyniuk50119118113
LJul 18 · 16:30O. Osadchyi192980A. Martyniuk331111113
LJun 30 · 11:35O. Osadchyi4211971142A. Martyniuk46511118113
LJun 27 · 13:30O. Osadchyi3431161222A. Martyniuk511181110113
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.401111113E. Populovskyi2.759870LSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi3.756990A. Martyniuk1.251111113LSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.61114671A. Kurtenko2.2061111113LSep 13 · 07:20O. Osadchyi1.33107111152E. Populovskyi3.25121134113WSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi2.1011711113S. Solomko1.67511881WSep 10 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.676430O. Osadchyi2.101111113LSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113WSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113
A. Martyniuk10
WSep 15 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.4411119113E. Populovskyi2.63991171WSep 15 · 06:05A. Kovalenko2.634880A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 13 · 11:50O. Osadchyi3.756990A. Martyniuk1.251111113WSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk1.33111179123A. Kurtenko3.25581111102WSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102LSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113LSep 13 · 06:20A. Martyniuk1.40114861E. Populovskyi2.7561111113WSep 10 · 12:50A. Martyniuk1.611111113M. Stetsenko2.208850WSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113WSep 10 · 08:50F. Voinarovskyi3.008780A. Martyniuk1.361111113
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