TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142915
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119113––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 62.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 2–0 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1422 vs Ovsiienko 1349
Lipeiko
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 100% vs Ovsiienko 20%
Lipeiko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 60% vs Ovsiienko 20%
Lipeiko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +5 · Ovsiienko -1
Lipeiko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.44 / Ovsiienko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142915
Lipeiko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 55 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it76% 45 of 59
Ovsiienko2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 75 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back17% 18 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLipeiko2wins
AwayOvsiienko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLipeiko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLipeikoOvsiienkoL − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.536.5+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 512 vs 445 / 86548.2%51.5%247 / 512 vs 445 / 865Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.44/Ovsiienko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko46761111113O. Ovsiienko4211119652
WAug 24 · 12:20O. Lipeiko43111110113O. Ovsiienko31851261
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580WSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571LSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580LSep 16 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.838750A. Kurtenko1.831111113LSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780LSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570LSep 16 · 12:30V. Smyk1.44117914113O. Ovsiienko2.63911111252LSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652
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