TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136842
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 8–6 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Ovsiienko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1391 vs Kurtenko 1435
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 40% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 40% vs Kurtenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko -3 · Kurtenko +1
Ovsiienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 1.83 / Kurtenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136842
Ovsiienko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kurtenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvsiienko6wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKurtenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko6Kurtenko4n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S2Ovsiienko6Kurtenko4n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S3Ovsiienko6Kurtenko4n = 10Ovsiienko took 6 of 10
S4Ovsiienko2Kurtenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoKurtenkoO − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.131.5+2.6per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 864 vs 343 / 65552%52.4%449 / 864 vs 343 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoOvsiienko 1.83/Kurtenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 15:00O. Ovsiienko2578100A. Kurtenko341111123
LAug 26 · 19:00O. Ovsiienko164480A. Kurtenko331111113
WAug 20 · 12:50O. Ovsiienko538131110113A. Kurtenko41111131242
WAug 19 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko351311113A. Kurtenko2011450
LAug 2 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko3951151262A. Kurtenko511181110113
WJul 20 · 11:50O. Ovsiienko331111113A. Kurtenko249780
WJul 19 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko331111113A. Kurtenko239860
WJul 16 · 11:20O. Ovsiienko48111511113A. Kurtenko37917921
WJul 15 · 10:35O. Ovsiienko331111113A. Kurtenko113350
LJul 5 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko26115551A. Kurtenko4181111113
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780LSep 16 · 13:30F. Voinarovskyi1.531111113O. Ovsiienko2.385570LSep 16 · 12:30V. Smyk1.44117914113O. Ovsiienko2.63911111252WSep 14 · 12:20S. Skhabitskiy1.366930O. Ovsiienko3.001111113WSep 14 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.735830O. Ovsiienko2.001111113WSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113WSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 13 · 18:30S. Baranskyi1.731111113O. Ovsiienko2.004980LSep 13 · 17:30M. Stetsenko1.80101511113O. Ovsiienko1.911213661LSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 16 · 16:00V. Smyk1.91571191A. Kurtenko1.8011116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930LSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762LSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:35A. Kurtenko1.91111011123E. Populovskyi1.806127101WSep 15 · 08:35A. Kovalenko1.83711921A. Kurtenko1.8311711113LSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.63611111162A. Kurtenko1.44111374113LSep 13 · 12:50A. Kurtenko1.73101090E. Populovskyi2.001212113LSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk1.33111179123A. Kurtenko3.25581111102
Upcoming Matches
O. Ovsiienko
A. Kurtenko
Nothing scheduled
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