TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155549
Played Sep 19Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116411118––
Serhii Solomko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 5–5 Serhii Solomko Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1477 vs Solomko 1533
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 40% vs Solomko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 70% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika -2 · Solomko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaika form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.67 / Solomko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zaika)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155549
Zaika1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Solomko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 13)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 117 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika5wins
AwaySolomko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika57.1%4 of 7
AwaySolomko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika7Solomko3n = 10Zaika took 7 of 10
S2Zaika5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S3Zaika3Solomko6n = 9Solomko took 6 of 9
S4Zaika2Solomko6n = 8Solomko took 6 of 8
S5Zaika2Solomko1n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaSolomkoZ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.4+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 554 vs 530 / 103350.2%51.3%278 / 554 vs 530 / 1033Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.67/Solomko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 26 · 12:20B. Zaika33116791S. Solomko4291111113
LJul 21 · 14:10B. Zaika4711811892S. Solomko47711711113
LJul 19 · 06:50B. Zaika361211581S. Solomko3814211113
WJul 18 · 17:00B. Zaika341112113S. Solomko2781090
LJun 23 · 17:40B. Zaika37118991S. Solomko3851111113
WJun 6 · 17:20B. Zaika48781111113S. Solomko4511117972
WMay 10 · 06:50B. Zaika3611112123S. Solomko335711101
WMay 9 · 18:50B. Zaika48111196113S. Solomko4595111192
B. Zaika10
LSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133LSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113LSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651
S. Solomko10
LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632LSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.5051070S. Solomko1.281112113LSep 13 · 09:50A. Martyniuk1.83911117123S. Solomko1.83119511102WSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133LSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi2.1011711113S. Solomko1.67511881LSep 12 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.20411111103S. Solomko1.6111511982WSep 12 · 17:30E. Populovskyi3.254540S. Solomko1.33111183WSep 12 · 16:00V. Smyk2.3810570S. Solomko1.531211113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.50111152S. Solomko2.5069111
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