TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136775
Played Sep 16Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10128111181113––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 62.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 4–2 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Kurtenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zaika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zaika
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1481 vs Kurtenko 1447
Zaika
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 60% vs Kurtenko 40%
Zaika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 80% vs Kurtenko 50%
Zaika
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika -1 · Kurtenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zaika)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.53 / Kurtenko 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zaika)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136775
Zaika1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Kurtenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 50 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZaika4wins
AwayKurtenko2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderZaika leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaikan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKurtenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika2Kurtenko4n = 6Kurtenko took 4 of 6
S2Zaika4Kurtenko2n = 6Zaika took 4 of 6
S3Zaika4Kurtenko2n = 6Zaika took 4 of 6
S4Zaika2Kurtenko1n = 3Zaika took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricZaikaKurtenkoZ − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.034.0+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 553 vs 344 / 65650.3%52.4%278 / 553 vs 344 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.53/Kurtenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 30 · 18:00B. Zaika4241015131A. Kurtenko51111213153
WAug 26 · 13:00B. Zaika48711811113A. Kurtenko4011411592
WMay 31 · 20:50B. Zaika3961111113A. Kurtenko38119991
WFeb 7 · 11:00B. Zaika341112113A. Kurtenko2471070
WJan 10 · 07:30B. Zaika341111123A. Kurtenko1853100
LJan 4 · 22:50B. Zaika195950A. Kurtenko331111113
B. Zaika10
LSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113LSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 16 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.838750A. Kurtenko1.831111113WSep 16 · 16:00V. Smyk1.91571191A. Kurtenko1.8011116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930LSep 16 · 12:00F. Voinarovskyi1.33118811113A. Kurtenko3.2521111762LSep 15 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.361111173A. Kurtenko3.0069150WSep 15 · 10:35A. Kurtenko1.91111011123E. Populovskyi1.806127101WSep 15 · 08:35A. Kovalenko1.83711921A. Kurtenko1.8311711113LSep 15 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.731112113A. Kurtenko2.0061090WSep 15 · 05:35S. Skhabitskiy2.63611111162A. Kurtenko1.44111374113LSep 13 · 12:50A. Kurtenko1.73101090E. Populovskyi2.001212113
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