TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Nechai
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012711––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Nechai above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 57.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Nechai 0–1 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Volodymyr Nechai has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ovsiienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Nechai 80% vs Ovsiienko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nechai 50% vs Ovsiienko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nechai +2 · Ovsiienko +3
Ovsiienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ovsiienko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNechai 2.00 / Ovsiienko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13161954
Nechai2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2053 days ago (Feb 05) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Ovsiienko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 134 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it85% 109 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNechai0wins
AwayOvsiienko1wins
Ovsiienko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricNechaiOvsiienkoN − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.034.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNechaiOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 449 / 87050%51.6%5 / 10 vs 449 / 870Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoNechai 2.00/Ovsiienko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2251070O. Ovsiienko341112113
V. Nechai10
LSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113WFeb 5 · 10:20D. Khairov—41111792V. Nechai—118911113WFeb 5 · 08:20L. Dynaburg—114421V. Nechai—41111113LFeb 5 · 07:20V. Melnykov—511612113V. Nechai—114111082WJan 31 · 13:20V. Nechai—1211412113L. Dynaburg—1013111042WJan 31 · 11:20A. Dekhtiarenko—21080V. Nechai—1112113LJan 31 · 10:20V. Nechai—91011101A. Novikov—11128123LJan 31 · 09:20Y. Churpita—1111113V. Nechai—4730WJan 31 · 07:50V. Nechai—111178113D. Khairov—64111182LJan 29 · 21:50V. Nechai—7121091O. Mytsyk—111012113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113LSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930LSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580WSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571
Upcoming Matches
V. Nechai
Nothing scheduled
O. Ovsiienko
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