TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155789
Played Sep 19Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711411––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ovsiienko to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 47 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Ovsiienko at 77.4%
47 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 7–19 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Serhii Semenets has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Ovsiienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-19 in 26
Ovsiienko
Correct
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1268 vs Ovsiienko 1366
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 0% vs Ovsiienko 40%
Ovsiienko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 30% vs Ovsiienko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets -5 · Ovsiienko +1
Semenets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Ovsiienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 3.75 / Ovsiienko 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Ovsiienko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155789
Semenets3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 44 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 44
Ovsiienko1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 136 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it85% 111 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets0wins
AwayOvsiienko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOvsiienko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOvsiienko100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets2Ovsiienko8n = 10Ovsiienko took 8 of 10
S2Semenets2Ovsiienko8n = 10Ovsiienko took 8 of 10
S3Semenets1Ovsiienko9n = 10Ovsiienko took 9 of 10
S4Semenets0Ovsiienko4n = 4Ovsiienko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsOvsiienkoS − OBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.438.0−9.6per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 831 vs 446 / 86750.1%51.4%416 / 831 vs 446 / 867Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvsiienkoSemenets 3.75/Ovsiienko 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Ovsiienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 06:30S. Semenets2182110O. Ovsiienko351111133
LJun 15 · 11:00S. Semenets224990O. Ovsiienko331111113
LJun 14 · 12:40S. Semenets169340O. Ovsiienko331111113
LJun 13 · 08:30S. Semenets33119941O. Ovsiienko4071111113
LJun 2 · 05:00S. Semenets55911151192O. Ovsiienko561181313113
LMay 29 · 08:35S. Semenets3911108101O. Ovsiienko4381211123
LMay 25 · 05:35S. Semenets197660O. Ovsiienko331111113
LMay 22 · 12:00S. Semenets35811881O. Ovsiienko4111811113
LMay 20 · 09:05S. Semenets248880O. Ovsiienko331111113
LMay 11 · 04:30S. Semenets205870O. Ovsiienko331111113
S. Semenets10
LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113WSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192LSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101WSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152WSep 16 · 10:50V. Stukalov1.83117761S. Semenets1.8331111113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113LSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930LSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580WSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571LSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580LSep 16 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.838750A. Kurtenko1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Semenets
O. Ovsiienko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.