TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136833
Played Sep 16Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113711711611––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 35–42 Serhii Semenets Vladyslav Stukalov has won 35 of their 77 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-42 in 77
Semenets
Correct
gap of 7 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1218 vs Semenets 1271
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 100% vs Semenets 60%
Stukalov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 60% vs Semenets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +5 · Semenets +1
Stukalov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.83 / Semenets 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136833
Stukalov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Semenets1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov5wins
AwaySemenets5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov83.3%5 of 6
AwaySemenets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov6Semenets4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S2Stukalov4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov6Semenets4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov3Semenets3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovSemenetsStukalov − SemenetsBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.334.6−1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 828 vs 418 / 83050.5%50.4%418 / 828 vs 418 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsStukalov 1.83/Semenets 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 14:10V. Stukalov3411611332S. Semenets43411611113
LSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov196850S. Semenets331111113
LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov239950S. Semenets331111113
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov331111113S. Semenets175930
WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov411511153S. Semenets33137130
WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov3911512113S. Semenets369111061
WSep 1 · 05:35V. Stukalov4011117113S. Semenets32671181
LAug 29 · 06:50V. Stukalov23311541S. Semenets4011711113
LAug 26 · 08:00V. Stukalov396811141S. Semenets4611118163
WAug 24 · 05:35V. Stukalov4212811113S. Semenets331011931
V. Stukalov10
WSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151WSep 16 · 06:20V. Stukalov3.0011117113S. Hovorunets1.36691191WSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142WSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113LSep 15 · 14:10V. Stukalov1.8311611332S. Semenets1.83411611113WSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123LSep 13 · 11:05V. Stukalov1.8361170V. Varchenko1.831113113LSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113
S. Semenets10
WSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 06:50V. Kondratenko1.33111111972S. Semenets3.25741311113WSep 15 · 17:40S. Hovorunets2.006860S. Semenets1.731111113LSep 15 · 16:10S. Semenets1.8371111972D. Khavanskyi1.83111711113WSep 15 · 14:10V. Stukalov1.8311611332S. Semenets1.83411611113WSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113WSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113LSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113LSep 13 · 10:05V. Varchenko2.63441211133S. Semenets1.441111104112
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