TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122436
Played Sep 13Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41141112101141311
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:22 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 91 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 68.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 5–11 Serhii Semenets Volodymyr Varchenko has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:22What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Semenets
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1152 vs Semenets 1294
Semenets
Wrong
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 40% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 20% vs Semenets 70%
Semenets
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko +2 · Semenets +3
Semenets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 2.63 / Semenets 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Semenets)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122436
Varchenko2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 12 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Semenets1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 91 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 69 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarchenko1wins
AwaySemenets9wins
Semenets leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko33.3%1 of 3
AwaySemenets100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S2Varchenko5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S3Varchenko0Semenets10n = 10Semenets took 10 of 10
S4Varchenko1Semenets6n = 7Semenets took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarchenkoSemenetsV − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.740.0−6.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 223 vs 416 / 82744.4%50.3%99 / 223 vs 416 / 827Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsVarchenko 2.63/Semenets 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko368117101S. Semenets4311911123
LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko4210119121S. Semenets4512811143
LAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko199640S. Semenets331111113
LAug 22 · 06:30V. Varchenko30101190S. Semenets361213113
LAug 16 · 12:05V. Varchenko216780S. Semenets331111113
WAug 9 · 11:05V. Varchenko4311118133S. Semenets336511111
LAug 5 · 15:30V. Varchenko32119661S. Semenets4291111113
LAug 2 · 09:20V. Varchenko46121212101S. Semenets50101414123
LJul 31 · 12:30V. Varchenko408131091S. Semenets45111112113
LJul 25 · 11:00V. Varchenko28711551S. Semenets4011711113
V. Varchenko10
WSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540WSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143
S. Semenets10
WSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov1.836850S. Semenets1.831111113WSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets2.201111113D. Khavanskyi1.616470WSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113LSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541WSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113LSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113WSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143
Upcoming Matches
V. Varchenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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