TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122004
Played Sep 13Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11491113111113118
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 61.6%
102 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 4–3 Vadym Kucheriavyi Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1120 vs Kucheriavyi 1166
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 0% vs Kucheriavyi 40%
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 0% vs Kucheriavyi 30%
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -5 · Kucheriavyi -1
Varchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kucheriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 2.38 / Kucheriavyi 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122004
Varchenko2.38
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 12 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Kucheriavyi1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite46% won 23 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 12 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVarchenko4wins
AwayKucheriavyi3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVarchenko leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko50%3 of 6
AwayKucheriavyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko6Kucheriavyi1n = 7Varchenko took 6 of 7
S2Varchenko3Kucheriavyi4n = 7Kucheriavyi took 4 of 7
S3Varchenko5Kucheriavyi2n = 7Varchenko took 5 of 7
S4Varchenko1Kucheriavyi5n = 6Kucheriavyi took 5 of 6
S5Varchenko2Kucheriavyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVarchenkoKucheriavyiV − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match45.139.3+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 222 vs 49 / 11744.1%41.9%98 / 222 vs 49 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiVarchenko 2.38/Kucheriavyi 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.4%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko551191311113V. Kucheriavyi47411111382
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Varchenko49119118102V. Kucheriavyi42411411123
LAug 22 · 05:30V. Varchenko48117111092V. Kucheriavyi44411612113
WAug 16 · 06:05V. Varchenko331111113V. Kucheriavyi186930
WJun 14 · 10:05V. Varchenko525111110153V. Kucheriavyi51119612132
WMay 9 · 05:30V. Varchenko4211119113V. Kucheriavyi29931161
LApr 19 · 16:40V. Varchenko371171181V. Kucheriavyi4491113113
V. Varchenko10
WSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.9111102D. Khavanskyi1.80450LSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821
V. Kucheriavyi10
LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 09:00S. Baranskyi2.2511119113V. Kucheriavyi1.57791161LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2.0071070V. Kondratenko1.731112113
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