TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122123
Played Sep 13Finished
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611119411––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Kucheriavyi 3–2 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:01What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1175 vs Khalenko 1265
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Khalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 20% vs Khalenko 50%
Khalenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi -2 · Khalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kucheriavyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 1.61 / Khalenko 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13122123
Kucheriavyi1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite46% won 23 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 12 of 20
Khalenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 59 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKucheriavyi3wins
AwayKhalenko2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKucheriavyi leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucheriavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKhalenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucheriavyi2Khalenko3n = 5Khalenko took 3 of 5
S2Kucheriavyi3Khalenko2n = 5Kucheriavyi took 3 of 5
S3Kucheriavyi3Khalenko2n = 5Kucheriavyi took 3 of 5
S4Kucheriavyi3Khalenko1n = 4Kucheriavyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKucheriavyiKhalenkoKucheriavyi − KhalenkoBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.435.6+1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 116 vs 187 / 36942.2%50.7%49 / 116 vs 187 / 369Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiKucheriavyi 1.61/Khalenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 16 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi3911511572M. Khalenko45311911113
WAug 1 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi44101112113M. Khalenko341271051
WMay 9 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi4111118113M. Khalenko32591171
WMay 31 · 12:20V. Kucheriavyi3741111113M. Khalenko32117951
LFeb 8 · 09:20V. Kucheriavyi2681170M. Khalenko351113113
V. Kucheriavyi10
LSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 09:00S. Baranskyi2.2511119113V. Kucheriavyi1.57791161LAug 22 · 08:00V. Kucheriavyi2.0071070V. Kondratenko1.731112113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113WSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123LSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541LSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972LSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113
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