TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122569
Played Sep 13Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 60.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 31–31 Mykhailo Khalenko Dead even across their 62 meetings.
Last 10 · 2–8Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-31 in 62
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1185 vs Khalenko 1265
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Khalenko 20%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 30% vs Khalenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Khalenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.20 / Khalenko 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Khalenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122569
Stukalov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 100 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back20% 25 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 75
Khalenko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 46 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov2wins
AwayKhalenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhalenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov50%2 of 4
AwayKhalenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov4Khalenko6n = 10Khalenko took 6 of 10
S2Stukalov3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S3Stukalov4Khalenko6n = 10Khalenko took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov3Khalenko2n = 5Stukalov took 3 of 5
S5Stukalov0Khalenko4n = 4Khalenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhalenkoS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.538.8−5.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 822 vs 187 / 37050.4%50.5%414 / 822 vs 187 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoStukalov 2.20/Khalenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov229670M. Khalenko331111113
LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov4411911492M. Khalenko43111911113
WAug 30 · 15:40V. Stukalov361213113M. Khalenko29101180
LAug 28 · 09:05V. Stukalov3961161152M. Khalenko50118119113
LAug 24 · 09:05V. Stukalov2061040M. Khalenko341112113
LAug 21 · 05:35V. Stukalov21010110M. Khalenko361112133
LAug 19 · 08:00V. Stukalov45119111132M. Khalenko46611513113
LAug 18 · 08:00V. Stukalov249960M. Khalenko331111113
LAug 1 · 08:30V. Stukalov44471112102M. Khalenko521111810123
WJul 28 · 11:00V. Stukalov4011117113M. Khalenko32771171
V. Stukalov10
WSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421LSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113WSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961
M. Khalenko10
WSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123LSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541LSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972LSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151
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