TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122009
Played Sep 13Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811114115119
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 64.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 14–27 Denys Khavanskyi Vladyslav Stukalov has won 14 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-27 in 41
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 13 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1184 vs Khavanskyi 1261
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Khavanskyi 60%
Khavanskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -3 · Khavanskyi -2
Stukalov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.50 / Khavanskyi 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122009
Stukalov2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 100 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back20% 25 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 75
Khavanskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite42% won 22 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov3wins
AwayKhavanskyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov50%2 of 4
AwayKhavanskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Stukalov6Khavanskyi4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov2Khavanskyi4n = 6Khavanskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.136.3−5.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 821 vs 155 / 30250.3%51.3%413 / 821 vs 155 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiStukalov 2.50/Khavanskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov44411118102D. Khavanskyi47115811123
LSep 3 · 09:35V. Stukalov176740D. Khavanskyi331111113
LSep 1 · 09:05V. Stukalov27711631D. Khavanskyi4211911113
WAug 29 · 09:20V. Stukalov4041411113D. Khavanskyi351112841
LAug 26 · 11:00V. Stukalov331161151D. Khavanskyi4271113113
WMay 30 · 08:30V. Stukalov331111113D. Khavanskyi199550
WMay 13 · 07:00V. Stukalov351111133D. Khavanskyi2559110
LDec 6 · 12:00V. Stukalov63210D. Khavanskyi30111183
LNov 22 · 08:00V. Stukalov4614581182D. Khavanskyi501211115113
LNov 18 · 18:10V. Stukalov30511861D. Khavanskyi4011711113
V. Stukalov10
LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421LSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113WSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770LSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271WSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123WSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113WSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113LSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771
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