TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094658
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1157111164111012
Yevhenii Korotin
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Yevhenii Korotin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 58.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 4–3 Yevhenii Korotin Yevhenii Korotin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1121 vs Korotin 1267
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 0% vs Korotin 40%
Korotin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 10% vs Korotin 40%
Korotin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -5 · Korotin -1
Varchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Korotin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korotin form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 2.20 / Korotin 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Korotin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094658
Varchenko2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 14 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Korotin1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite72% won 18 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVarchenko4wins
AwayKorotin3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVarchenko leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko60%3 of 5
AwayKorotinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko5Korotin2n = 7Varchenko took 5 of 7
S2Varchenko4Korotin3n = 7Varchenko took 4 of 7
S3Varchenko3Korotin4n = 7Korotin took 4 of 7
S4Varchenko2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
S5Varchenko2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVarchenkoKorotinV − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.638.6+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoKorotinBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 223 vs 98 / 20244%48.5%98 / 223 vs 98 / 202Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinVarchenko 2.20/Korotin 1.61
Miss
What we said
60.1%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 23 · 06:05V. Varchenko—101060Y. Korotin—1212113
LAug 5 · 14:30V. Varchenko—111013672Y. Korotin—6121111113
LApr 19 · 10:40V. Varchenko—11981192Y. Korotin—911118113
WMar 31 · 15:10V. Varchenko—1111123Y. Korotin—46100
WMar 29 · 14:40V. Varchenko—411312113Y. Korotin—117111092
WMar 22 · 11:40V. Varchenko—111289113Y. Korotin—610111142
WDec 7 · 18:10V. Varchenko—1113133Y. Korotin—211110
V. Varchenko10
LSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821LSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152WSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113
Y. Korotin10
LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123LSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113
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