TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122007
Played Sep 13Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114117––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 58.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 17–23 Denys Khavanskyi Serhii Semenets has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-23 in 40
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1284 vs Khavanskyi 1235
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 60% vs Khavanskyi 20%
Semenets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 60% vs Khavanskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets +1 · Khavanskyi -3
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 2.20 / Khavanskyi 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122007
Semenets2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Khavanskyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite42% won 22 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets4wins
AwayKhavanskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets50%2 of 4
AwayKhavanskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Semenets7Khavanskyi3n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Semenets5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Semenets1Khavanskyi6n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S5Semenets2Khavanskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.7−0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 827 vs 154 / 30350.3%50.8%416 / 827 vs 154 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiSemenets 2.20/Khavanskyi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets331111113D. Khavanskyi176470
LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets311411421D. Khavanskyi4616811113
WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets539111111113D. Khavanskyi4511135882
LSep 3 · 06:35S. Semenets269980D. Khavanskyi331111113
LSep 1 · 10:35S. Semenets3811116372D. Khavanskyi49971111113
LAug 30 · 10:35S. Semenets4111111091D. Khavanskyi4113512113
WAug 29 · 12:50S. Semenets321111103D. Khavanskyi219750
LAug 26 · 10:00S. Semenets38815871D. Khavanskyi46111311113
LAug 23 · 06:35S. Semenets46111011862D. Khavanskyi49712811113
WMay 13 · 08:30S. Semenets515131111113D. Khavanskyi50111181372
S. Semenets10
WSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113LSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541WSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113LSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113WSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770LSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271WSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123WSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113WSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113
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