TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131204
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 55.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 33–58 Vladyslav Stukalov Oleh Miklukha has won 33 of their 91 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stukalov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-58 in 91
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 25 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1203 vs Stukalov 1138
Miklukha
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 80% vs Stukalov 0%
Miklukha
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 50% vs Stukalov 20%
Miklukha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -1 · Stukalov -5
Stukalov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stukalov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.20 / Stukalov 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Stukalov)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13131204
Miklukha2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 44 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Stukalov1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite55% won 88 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 61 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha3wins
AwayStukalov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha60%3 of 5
AwayStukalov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S2Miklukha1Stukalov9n = 10Stukalov took 9 of 10
S3Miklukha6Stukalov4n = 10Miklukha took 6 of 10
S4Miklukha4Stukalov5n = 9Stukalov took 5 of 9
S5Miklukha1Stukalov2n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaStukalovM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.140.6−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 455 vs 413 / 82246.8%50.2%213 / 455 vs 413 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovMiklukha 2.20/Stukalov 1.61
Hit
What we said
55.9%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha44111111113V. Stukalov25613421
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha32119751V. Stukalov4181111113
LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha39981391V. Stukalov44111111113
LAug 19 · 07:00O. Miklukha31771161V. Stukalov4211119113
LAug 18 · 07:00O. Miklukha491171011102V. Stukalov44511124123
WAug 13 · 11:50O. Miklukha4115114113V. Stukalov391381171
LJul 28 · 09:00O. Miklukha48128111162V. Stukalov52141197113
WJul 20 · 07:00O. Miklukha50118119113V. Stukalov4351191172
LJun 22 · 07:35O. Miklukha3013980V. Stukalov371511113
LJun 17 · 13:10O. Miklukha37991181V. Stukalov3911116113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113WSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421WSep 11 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.50911711113K. Riazanovskyi1.5011911682WSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271LSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123
V. Stukalov10
WSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113LSep 15 · 14:10V. Stukalov1.8311611332S. Semenets1.83411611113LSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123LSep 13 · 11:05V. Stukalov1.8361170V. Varchenko1.831113113LSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov1.836850S. Semenets1.831111113LSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113WSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421WSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113
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