TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122000
Played Sep 13Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511111––––
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Vadym Kucheriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 52 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 7–6 Vadym Kucheriavyi Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kucheriavyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1175 vs Kucheriavyi 1166
Stukalov
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Kucheriavyi 40%
Kucheriavyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Kucheriavyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -2 · Kucheriavyi -3
Kucheriavyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stukalov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.91 / Kucheriavyi 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stukalov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122000
Stukalov1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog44% won 100 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back20% 25 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 75
Kucheriavyi1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite46% won 23 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 12 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov7wins
AwayKucheriavyi3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov66.7%6 of 9
AwayKucheriavyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov9Kucheriavyi1n = 10Stukalov took 9 of 10
S2Stukalov5Kucheriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Stukalov5Kucheriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Stukalov4Kucheriavyi3n = 7Stukalov took 4 of 7
S5Stukalov3Kucheriavyi2n = 5Stukalov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKucheriavyiS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.738.1+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKucheriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 821 vs 49 / 11750.3%41.9%413 / 821 vs 49 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.91/Kucheriavyi 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kucheriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov4512711692V. Kucheriavyi481011511113
LAug 22 · 07:00V. Stukalov34115991V. Kucheriavyi3851111113
WAug 1 · 07:00V. Stukalov341112113V. Kucheriavyi1951040
WJul 26 · 15:10V. Stukalov351311113V. Kucheriavyi2711790
WJul 19 · 17:10V. Stukalov50118911113V. Kucheriavyi4591111772
LJun 27 · 09:00V. Stukalov46166211112V. Kucheriavyi531411114133
WJun 21 · 13:10V. Stukalov52116911153V. Kucheriavyi46511116132
WJun 14 · 06:05V. Stukalov391117113V. Kucheriavyi2561540
WJun 7 · 16:40V. Stukalov4211117133V. Kucheriavyi358511111
WMay 30 · 07:00V. Stukalov50711119123V. Kucheriavyi45115811102
V. Stukalov10
LSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov1.836850S. Semenets1.831111113LSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113WSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421LSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113WSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113
V. Kucheriavyi10
LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113LSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113LAug 22 · 09:00S. Baranskyi2.2511119113V. Kucheriavyi1.57791161
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