TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130834
Played Sep 15Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114611116311311
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 77 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 35–41 Serhii Semenets Vladyslav Stukalov has won 35 of their 76 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-41 in 76
Semenets
Correct
gap of 6 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1155 vs Semenets 1269
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Semenets 60%
Semenets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Semenets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.83 / Semenets 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13130834
Stukalov1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Semenets1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov6wins
AwaySemenets4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov100%5 of 5
AwaySemenets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S2Stukalov5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S3Stukalov5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S4Stukalov4Semenets2n = 6Stukalov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovSemenetsStukalov − SemenetsBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.134.4−0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 823 vs 414 / 82450.3%50.2%414 / 823 vs 414 / 824Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsStukalov 1.83/Semenets 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov196850S. Semenets331111113
LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov239950S. Semenets331111113
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov331111113S. Semenets175930
WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov411511153S. Semenets33137130
WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov3911512113S. Semenets369111061
WSep 1 · 05:35V. Stukalov4011117113S. Semenets32671181
LAug 29 · 06:50V. Stukalov23311541S. Semenets4011711113
LAug 26 · 08:00V. Stukalov396811141S. Semenets4611118163
WAug 24 · 05:35V. Stukalov4212811113S. Semenets331011931
WAug 22 · 08:30V. Stukalov42511411113S. Semenets4111511952
V. Stukalov10
WSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123LSep 13 · 11:05V. Stukalov1.8361170V. Varchenko1.831113113LSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov1.836850S. Semenets1.831111113LSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113WSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421LSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113
S. Semenets10
WSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113WSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113LSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113LSep 13 · 10:05V. Varchenko2.63441211133S. Semenets1.441111104112WSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov1.836850S. Semenets1.831111113WSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets2.201111113D. Khavanskyi1.616470WSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113LSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541
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