TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130833
Played Sep 15Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119119911411
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 92 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 4–10 Serhii Semenets Yevhenii Korotin has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:51What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Semenets
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1284 vs Semenets 1257
Korotin
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 60% vs Semenets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Semenets 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +2 · Semenets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.83 / Semenets 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13130833
Korotin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Semenets1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorotin2wins
AwaySemenets8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSemenets leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin50%2 of 4
AwaySemenets100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S2Korotin4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Korotin5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S4Korotin2Semenets7n = 9Semenets took 7 of 9
S5Korotin1Semenets3n = 4Semenets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorotinSemenetsK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.543.4−5.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 204 vs 414 / 82449%50.2%100 / 204 vs 414 / 824Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsKorotin 1.83/Semenets 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:30Y. Korotin4251111692S. Semenets51119911113
WAug 23 · 12:05Y. Korotin46131111113S. Semenets381191351
WAug 5 · 12:30Y. Korotin47119115113S. Semenets4471161192
LApr 28 · 14:40Y. Korotin5011915962S. Semenets559111311113
LApr 14 · 11:30Y. Korotin4151281152S. Semenets501110117113
LSep 23 · 13:10Y. Korotin369111151S. Semenets4411139113
LJul 1 · 14:10Y. Korotin28831161S. Semenets3911116113
LJun 17 · 14:10Y. Korotin30112891S. Semenets4081111103
LJun 10 · 12:10Y. Korotin381011891S. Semenets4012611113
LMay 27 · 17:10Y. Korotin176920S. Semenets331111113
Y. Korotin10
LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102WSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100WSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123LSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121
S. Semenets10
WSep 15 · 14:10V. Stukalov1.8311611332S. Semenets1.83411611113WSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113LSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113LSep 13 · 10:05V. Varchenko2.63441211133S. Semenets1.441111104112WSep 13 · 08:05V. Stukalov1.836850S. Semenets1.831111113WSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets2.201111113D. Khavanskyi1.616470WSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113WSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121
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