TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130835
Played Sep 15Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13118119111181210
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 104 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 66.3%
104 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 0–2 Serhii Hovorunets Yevhenii Korotin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hovorunets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1272 vs Hovorunets 1295
Hovorunets
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 60% vs Hovorunets 40%
Korotin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 40% vs Hovorunets 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin -1 · Hovorunets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hovorunets) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hovorunets form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 2.75 / Hovorunets 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hovorunets)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13130835
Korotin2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Hovorunets1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKorotin0wins
AwayHovorunets2wins
Hovorunets leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKorotinHovorunetsK − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.038.5−14.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 205 vs 233 / 47748.8%48.9%100 / 205 vs 233 / 477Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsKorotin 2.75/Hovorunets 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 8 · 14:00Y. Korotin133640S. Hovorunets331111113
LAug 5 · 17:00Y. Korotin357611111S. Hovorunets4411119133
Y. Korotin10
LSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113WSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100WSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123LSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.611111113D. Khavanskyi2.208680WSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123LSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632LSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113LSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113WSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102LSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640
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