TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131073
Played Sep 15Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171161210––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 67.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 2–5 Denys Khavanskyi Yevhenii Korotin has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Khavanskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1274 vs Khavanskyi 1180
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 40% vs Khavanskyi 0%
Korotin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Khavanskyi 20%
Korotin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +1 · Khavanskyi -5
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Khavanskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 2.75 / Khavanskyi 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131073
Korotin2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Khavanskyi1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 22 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKorotin2wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorotin33.3%1 of 3
AwayKhavanskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korotin3Khavanskyi4n = 7Khavanskyi took 4 of 7
S2Korotin4Khavanskyi3n = 7Korotin took 4 of 7
S3Korotin1Khavanskyi6n = 7Khavanskyi took 6 of 7
S4Korotin1Khavanskyi3n = 4Khavanskyi took 3 of 4
S5Korotin1Khavanskyi2n = 3Khavanskyi took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricKorotinKhavanskyiKorotin − KhavanskyiBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.140.9−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 203 vs 153 / 30348.8%50.5%99 / 203 vs 153 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiKorotin 2.75/Khavanskyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin203980D. Khavanskyi331111113
LAug 23 · 08:05Y. Korotin2310760D. Khavanskyi341211113
LAug 26 · 15:40Y. Korotin2449110D. Khavanskyi351111133
WJul 29 · 13:40Y. Korotin4111117123D. Khavanskyi389811101
WJul 22 · 16:10Y. Korotin518111110113D. Khavanskyi4011391252
LJun 17 · 16:10Y. Korotin45111110942D. Khavanskyi49961211113
LMay 27 · 11:40Y. Korotin561411147102D. Khavanskyi571261611123
Y. Korotin10
WSep 8 · 18:30V. Varchenko2.20117114102Y. Korotin1.61511611123LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123LSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830LSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541LSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540LSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets2.201111113D. Khavanskyi1.616470LSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770LSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113
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