TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122017
Played Sep 13Finished
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118113––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 55 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Kucheriavyi 1–0 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kucheriavyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1180 vs Khavanskyi 1195
Khavanskyi
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Khavanskyi 0%
Kucheriavyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 30% vs Khavanskyi 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi +1 · Khavanskyi -5
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kucheriavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 1.44 / Khavanskyi 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13122017
Kucheriavyi1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 23 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 12 of 20
Khavanskyi2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 20 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKucheriavyi1wins
AwayKhavanskyi0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKucheriavyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKucheriavyiKhavanskyiKucheriavyi − KhavanskyiBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.044.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 118 vs 153 / 30242.4%50.7%50 / 118 vs 153 / 302Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiKucheriavyi 1.44/Khavanskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucheriavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 31 · 08:20V. Kucheriavyi48911116113D. Khavanskyi4411981152
V. Kucheriavyi10
WSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113LSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102WSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113LSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020LSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113LSep 5 · 06:05O. Stopin3.251181216113V. Kucheriavyi1.33911101852LAug 22 · 11:00V. Kucheriavyi1.61118871S. Semenets2.2051111113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541LSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540LSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets2.201111113D. Khavanskyi1.616470LSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770LSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271WSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123WSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113
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