TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131181
Played Sep 15Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 54.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 10–8 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hovorunets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Hovorunets
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1286 vs Khavanskyi 1170
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 20% vs Khavanskyi 0%
Hovorunets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 50% vs Khavanskyi 10%
Hovorunets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets +1 · Khavanskyi -5
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.61 / Khavanskyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hovorunets)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13131181
Hovorunets1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Khavanskyi2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets5wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets62.5%5 of 8
AwayKhavanskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets8Khavanskyi2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S2Hovorunets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S3Hovorunets8Khavanskyi2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S4Hovorunets2Khavanskyi5n = 7Khavanskyi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.1+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 476 vs 153 / 30448.7%50.3%232 / 476 vs 153 / 304Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.61/Khavanskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets4412611782D. Khavanskyi501011711113
WMay 6 · 20:20S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi134540
LApr 29 · 20:20S. Hovorunets32481191D. Khavanskyi4011117113
WApr 22 · 16:20S. Hovorunets3911611113D. Khavanskyi31911291
LApr 15 · 20:20S. Hovorunets33871171D. Khavanskyi4211119113
LApr 1 · 15:50S. Hovorunets51127111382D. Khavanskyi521011515113
LDec 20 · 06:50S. Hovorunets361112581D. Khavanskyi4591411113
WDec 19 · 16:20S. Hovorunets4011117113D. Khavanskyi33941191
WDec 4 · 09:50S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi91350
WOct 30 · 13:50S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi165560
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102WSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123LSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632LSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113LSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113WSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102LSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100LSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830LSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541LSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540LSep 13 · 07:05S. Semenets2.201111113D. Khavanskyi1.616470LSep 13 · 05:05V. Stukalov2.50981111113D. Khavanskyi1.5011114592LSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770LSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113
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