TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155300
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811117113––
Serhii Semenets
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 69 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 77.4%
69 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 11–4 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1370 vs Semenets 1275
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 40% vs Semenets 20%
Stetsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 50% vs Semenets 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko -1 · Semenets -3
Semenets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 1.25 / Semenets 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Stetsenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155300
Stetsenko1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 117 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it88% 90 of 102
Semenets3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 44 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko9wins
AwaySemenets1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenko100%6 of 6
AwaySemenets25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko6Semenets4n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S2Stetsenko8Semenets2n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S3Stetsenko7Semenets3n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S4Stetsenko5Semenets0n = 5Stetsenko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoSemenetsStetsenko − SemenetsBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.430.8+7.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 850 vs 416 / 83051.9%50.1%441 / 850 vs 416 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoStetsenko 1.25/Semenets 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko4111811113S. Semenets28711731
WSep 7 · 11:20M. Stetsenko331111113S. Semenets268990
WMay 19 · 10:05M. Stetsenko331111113S. Semenets187470
WMay 18 · 10:00M. Stetsenko496111011113S. Semenets4511812592
WMay 15 · 05:00M. Stetsenko331111113S. Semenets182970
WMay 13 · 06:30M. Stetsenko44101111123S. Semenets351276101
WMay 8 · 06:30M. Stetsenko391111173S. Semenets3069150
WMay 6 · 05:00M. Stetsenko44111111113S. Semenets38881391
LApr 28 · 15:40M. Stetsenko2712960S. Semenets361411113
WApr 27 · 10:05M. Stetsenko4181111113S. Semenets34116891
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113WSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113WSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192LSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113LSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113WSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.735830O. Ovsiienko2.001111113WSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113WSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113
S. Semenets10
LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113WSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192LSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101WSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152WSep 16 · 10:50V. Stukalov1.83117761S. Semenets1.8331111113WSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113
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