TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148322
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 65.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 4–2 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1367 vs Semenets 1271
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Semenets 40%
Mytsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 50% vs Semenets 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -1 · Semenets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.44 / Semenets 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Mytsyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148322
Mytsyk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 162 of 295
Up 2–0, closes it88% 73 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it78% 119 of 153
Semenets2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMytsyk4wins
AwaySemenets2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderMytsyk leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
AwaySemenets33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk3Semenets3n = 6split evenly
S2Mytsyk6Semenets0n = 6Mytsyk took 6 of 6
S3Mytsyk2Semenets4n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
S4Mytsyk4Semenets2n = 6Mytsyk took 4 of 6
S5Mytsyk1Semenets2n = 3Semenets took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMytsykSemenetsM − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match44.536.8+7.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime537 / 1077 vs 416 / 82849.9%50.2%537 / 1077 vs 416 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.44/Semenets 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 9 · 06:05O. Mytsyk42311116113S. Semenets3811381152
LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk47111196102S. Semenets46841111123
LAug 24 · 12:05O. Mytsyk528111211102S. Semenets46116143123
WAug 8 · 11:30O. Mytsyk4111118113S. Semenets32871161
WAug 6 · 06:30O. Mytsyk4311129113S. Semenets348101151
WNov 11 · 12:30O. Mytsyk4291111113S. Semenets25115451
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782LSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192WSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113WSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113
S. Semenets10
LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113WSep 18 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.9112118642S. Semenets1.801061111113LSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192LSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101WSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152WSep 16 · 10:50V. Stukalov1.83117761S. Semenets1.8331111113WSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:50S. Semenets2.001181041D. Khavanskyi1.7391112113WSep 16 · 06:50V. Kondratenko1.33111111972S. Semenets3.25741311113WSep 15 · 17:40S. Hovorunets2.006860S. Semenets1.731111113
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