TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142018
Played Sep 17Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118116511119
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 64.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 23–6 Oleksandr Mytsyk Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 6 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-6 in 29
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 17 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1335 vs Mytsyk 1367
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 20% vs Mytsyk 40%
Mytsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 50% vs Mytsyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko -3 · Mytsyk +2
Stetsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 1.50 / Mytsyk 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Stetsenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13142018
Stetsenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 116 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it88% 90 of 102
Mytsyk2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko8wins
AwayMytsyk2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenko75%6 of 8
AwayMytsykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko8Mytsyk2n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S2Stetsenko6Mytsyk4n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S3Stetsenko5Mytsyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Stetsenko7Mytsyk3n = 10Stetsenko took 7 of 10
S5Stetsenko2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoMytsykS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.8+5.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 848 vs 535 / 107651.8%49.7%439 / 848 vs 535 / 1076Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoStetsenko 1.50/Mytsyk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 12:50M. Stetsenko43111110113O. Mytsyk32961251
LSep 13 · 12:30M. Stetsenko3612111842O. Mytsyk521011911113
WSep 7 · 12:20M. Stetsenko47771111113O. Mytsyk4211115692
WSep 4 · 06:35M. Stetsenko4311714113O. Mytsyk336111241
WSep 3 · 08:50M. Stetsenko4211119113O. Mytsyk30951151
WSep 2 · 13:30M. Stetsenko4611139133O. Mytsyk4181111111
LAug 31 · 12:20M. Stetsenko39116111012O. Mytsyk38311112113
WAug 26 · 12:00M. Stetsenko4481113123O. Mytsyk3911711101
WAug 23 · 11:10M. Stetsenko44111111113O. Mytsyk31851351
WAug 20 · 12:20M. Stetsenko45111139113O. Mytsyk4076111152
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113LSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113LSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113WSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.735830O. Ovsiienko2.001111113WSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113WSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113LSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790WSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113WSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WSep 13 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.25915761O. Mytsyk1.57111311113WSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142
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