TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148576
Played Sep 18Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
2111167111151113
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 88 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 58.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 2–2 Oleksandr Mytsyk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1378 vs Mytsyk 1365
Mukhin
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 80% vs Mytsyk 60%
Mukhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 80% vs Mytsyk 40%
Mukhin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +3 · Mytsyk -1
Mukhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mukhin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.25 / Mytsyk 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Mytsyk)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13148576
Mukhin2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 27 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Mytsyk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 162 of 295
Up 2–0, closes it88% 73 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it78% 119 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMukhin2wins
AwayMytsyk2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin66.7%2 of 3
AwayMytsykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Mytsyk1n = 4Mukhin took 3 of 4
S2Mukhin2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
S3Mukhin1Mytsyk3n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMukhinMytsykMukhin − MytsykBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.835.5−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 313 vs 536 / 107552.4%49.9%164 / 313 vs 536 / 1075Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMukhin 2.25/Mytsyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin4511158113O. Mytsyk364131181
WSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin351212113O. Mytsyk29101090
LAug 27 · 09:00V. Mukhin235990O. Mytsyk331111113
LAug 6 · 04:30V. Mukhin32138651O. Mytsyk44111111113
V. Mukhin10
WSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192WSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113WSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632WSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782LSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192WSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113WSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090
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