TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126433
Played Sep 14Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115511112113––
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 59 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 58.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 14–22 Kostiantyn Klymenko Vitalii Mukhin has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Klymenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1346 vs Klymenko 1390
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 60% vs Klymenko 40%
Mukhin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 80% vs Klymenko 30%
Mukhin
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin -1 · Klymenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.38 / Klymenko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Klymenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126433
Mukhin2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 25 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Klymenko1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 110 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it78% 77 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin3wins
AwayKlymenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhinn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKlymenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin2Klymenko8n = 10Klymenko took 8 of 10
S2Mukhin4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S3Mukhin5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mukhin3Klymenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Mukhin1Klymenko2n = 3Klymenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinKlymenkoM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.439.3−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 313 vs 441 / 85652.1%51.5%163 / 313 vs 441 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoMukhin 2.38/Klymenko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 10:30V. Mukhin269980K. Klymenko331111113
LJul 20 · 06:00V. Mukhin32791151K. Klymenko3911116113
LJul 13 · 10:30V. Mukhin36711991K. Klymenko4211911113
LJul 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin47161171122K. Klymenko52183119113
LJun 1 · 04:30V. Mukhin195950K. Klymenko331111113
WMay 27 · 09:35V. Mukhin48119116113K. Klymenko4481171172
LMay 23 · 07:30V. Mukhin227870K. Klymenko331111113
WMay 18 · 07:30V. Mukhin341112113K. Klymenko2491050
LJul 17 · 08:50V. Mukhin4899131342K. Klymenko5511111111113
WJul 16 · 16:20V. Mukhin4281111123K. Klymenko381198101
V. Mukhin10
LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113WSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632WSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972WSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771WSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860WSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351
K. Klymenko10
WSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113LSep 14 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.105990S. Skhabitskiy1.671111113WSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790LSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113LSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.401111113M. Stetsenko2.757870LSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113
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