TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148627
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11841110121191113
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 100 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 2–2 Vitalii Korniichuk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1365 vs Korniichuk 1343
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 80% vs Korniichuk 60%
Mytsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Korniichuk 60%
Korniichuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +2 · Korniichuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.83 / Korniichuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mytsyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148627
Mytsyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Korniichuk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMytsyk2wins
AwayKorniichuk2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk2Korniichuk2n = 4split evenly
S2Mytsyk2Korniichuk2n = 4split evenly
S3Mytsyk3Korniichuk1n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S4Mytsyk2Korniichuk2n = 4split evenly
S5Mytsyk1Korniichuk2n = 3Korniichuk took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMytsykKorniichukM − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match48.248.5−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 1075 vs 283 / 51149.9%55.4%536 / 1075 vs 283 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.83/Korniichuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk471141011112V. Korniichuk53811129133
WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk3521111113V. Korniichuk33119581
LSep 7 · 10:20O. Mytsyk52121111992V. Korniichuk521013711113
WAug 24 · 08:05O. Mytsyk599111311153V. Korniichuk561181113132
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782LSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192WSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113WSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113
V. Korniichuk10
LSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 11 · 11:35K. Riazanovskyi1.73117811V. Korniichuk2.0071111113WSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113LSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113WSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471
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