TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148414
Played Sep 18Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711119––
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 60.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 4–5 Vitalii Korniichuk Vitalii Mukhin has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Korniichuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1359 vs Korniichuk 1342
Mukhin
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 60% vs Korniichuk 80%
Korniichuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 80% vs Korniichuk 60%
Mukhin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +1 · Korniichuk +3
Korniichuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korniichuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.50 / Korniichuk 1.50
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Korniichuk)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13148414
Mukhin2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 27 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Korniichuk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it86% 51 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMukhin4wins
AwayKorniichuk5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin66.7%4 of 6
AwayKorniichuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin6Korniichuk3n = 9Mukhin took 6 of 9
S2Mukhin4Korniichuk5n = 9Korniichuk took 5 of 9
S3Mukhin1Korniichuk8n = 9Korniichuk took 8 of 9
S4Mukhin1Korniichuk4n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
S5Mukhin3Korniichuk1n = 4Mukhin took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMukhinKorniichukM − KBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match36.439.0−2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 314 vs 282 / 50952.2%55.4%164 / 314 vs 282 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukMukhin 2.50/Korniichuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 10 · 09:00V. Mukhin195860V. Korniichuk331111113
WMay 19 · 05:05V. Mukhin46111167113V. Korniichuk4495111182
WApr 17 · 06:00V. Mukhin581113149113V. Korniichuk46511161132
WApr 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin45124711113V. Korniichuk45101111582
LApr 1 · 10:30V. Mukhin2791260V. Korniichuk361114113
LMar 23 · 11:30V. Mukhin4011118642V. Korniichuk48691111113
LMar 18 · 05:30V. Mukhin36139681V. Korniichuk44111111113
LDec 9 · 05:30V. Mukhin2410860V. Korniichuk341211113
WOct 13 · 06:35V. Mukhin331111113V. Korniichuk217680
V. Mukhin10
WSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113WSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632WSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972WSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771WSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 11 · 11:35K. Riazanovskyi1.73117811V. Korniichuk2.0071111113WSep 11 · 10:35D. Khavanskyi2.2598100V. Korniichuk1.571111123WSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113LSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.6313101181V. Korniichuk1.44111213113LSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113WSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113WSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 05:50V. Korniichuk2.7511470M. Stetsenko1.401311113
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