TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 63.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 26–36 Oleksandr Lipeiko Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lipeiko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-36 in 62
Lipeiko
Wrong
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1352 vs Lipeiko 1435
Lipeiko
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Lipeiko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 30% vs Lipeiko 70%
Lipeiko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy -1 · Lipeiko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.50 / Lipeiko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lipeiko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161682
Skhabitskiy2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 91 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Lipeiko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it77% 47 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy4wins
AwayLipeiko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLipeiko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy66.7%4 of 6
AwayLipeiko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy6Lipeiko4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy2Lipeiko8n = 10Lipeiko took 8 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy3Lipeiko4n = 7Lipeiko took 4 of 7
S5Skhabitskiy2Lipeiko1n = 3Skhabitskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyLipeikoS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.139.0−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 1066 vs 247 / 51544.1%48%470 / 1066 vs 247 / 515Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoSkhabitskiy 2.50/Lipeiko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy175660O. Lipeiko331111113
LAug 24 · 08:20S. Skhabitskiy4612981162O. Lipeiko521011119113
LJul 13 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2765160O. Lipeiko401111183
LJul 8 · 09:35S. Skhabitskiy36128971O. Lipeiko43101111113
WJul 1 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy50119811113O. Lipeiko3651111452
LJun 24 · 02:10S. Skhabitskiy29412671O. Lipeiko43111011113
WJun 14 · 19:20S. Skhabitskiy4111118113O. Lipeiko31571181
WJun 1 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy44113118113O. Lipeiko4071181132
WMay 23 · 18:50S. Skhabitskiy411118123O. Lipeiko31516100
LMay 18 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy30911281O. Lipeiko4111811113
S. Skhabitskiy10
LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113WSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113LSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113LSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113LSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113WSep 19 · 18:30O. Lipeiko1.7311811123S. Baranskyi2.006119101LSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041
Upcoming Matches
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