TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154993
Played Sep 19Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711811211––
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 72 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 58.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 23–20 Kostiantyn Klymenko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-20 in 43
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1369 vs Klymenko 1382
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 20% vs Klymenko 60%
Klymenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 30% vs Klymenko 50%
Klymenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy +1 · Klymenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.57 / Klymenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13154993
Skhabitskiy1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 97 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 92
Klymenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 60 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy7wins
AwayKlymenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy71.4%5 of 7
AwayKlymenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy7Klymenko3n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy6Klymenko4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy6Klymenko4n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy5Klymenko2n = 7Skhabitskiy took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyKlymenkoS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.231.6+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 1065 vs 438 / 84644.2%51.8%471 / 1065 vs 438 / 846Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiySkhabitskiy 1.57/Klymenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy29127821K. Klymenko43101111113
WSep 14 · 08:20S. Skhabitskiy331111113K. Klymenko235990
WAug 28 · 06:35S. Skhabitskiy4211911113K. Klymenko33811771
WAug 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy49911711113K. Klymenko3911511842
WAug 14 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy4181111113K. Klymenko24114631
WAug 10 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy341112113K. Klymenko2341090
LAug 6 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy32971151K. Klymenko3911116113
LJul 29 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy4011761152K. Klymenko47511119113
WJul 23 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy331111113K. Klymenko186480
WJul 20 · 11:30S. Skhabitskiy3911116113K. Klymenko27841141
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113LSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113LSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113LSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571WSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113LSep 15 · 10:05S. Skhabitskiy2.75371161A. Martyniuk1.4011119113LSep 15 · 09:05S. Skhabitskiy2.5011128692E. Populovskyi1.503101111113LSep 15 · 07:35S. Skhabitskiy2.25115961A. Kovalenko1.5771111113
K. Klymenko10
LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031WSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101LSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231WSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113LSep 14 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.105990S. Skhabitskiy1.671111113
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