TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148302
Played Sep 18Finished
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121171210113––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 76 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 58.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 16–19 Vladyslav Stukalov Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-19 in 35
Stukalov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1386 vs Stukalov 1200
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 40% vs Stukalov 60%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 30% vs Stukalov 60%
Stukalov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +1 · Stukalov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.57 / Stukalov 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Klymenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148302
Klymenko1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 112 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Stukalov2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 105 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko6wins
AwayStukalov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%5 of 5
AwayStukalov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S2Klymenko5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S3Klymenko7Stukalov3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko3Stukalov2n = 5Klymenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoStukalovK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.7−0.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 844 vs 412 / 82051.7%50.2%436 / 844 vs 412 / 820Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.57/Stukalov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 14:40K. Klymenko361114113V. Stukalov2771280
LAug 28 · 11:05K. Klymenko2010370V. Stukalov341211113
WAug 13 · 05:50K. Klymenko50612156113V. Stukalov541110131192
WAug 1 · 10:30K. Klymenko3911611113V. Stukalov36911971
WJul 30 · 09:35K. Klymenko341112113V. Stukalov2581070
LJul 27 · 07:00K. Klymenko4059111142V. Stukalov49111197113
WJul 26 · 12:10K. Klymenko331111113V. Stukalov195950
WJul 20 · 08:00K. Klymenko4311118133V. Stukalov343911111
LJul 13 · 07:00K. Klymenko3710101161V. Stukalov4412129113
LJul 10 · 10:30K. Klymenko2411940V. Stukalov351311113
K. Klymenko10
WSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101LSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231WSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113LSep 14 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.105990S. Skhabitskiy1.671111113WSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790LSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980LSep 10 · 10:50K. Klymenko3.2511911772A. Martyniuk1.33611511113LSep 10 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.386810O. Ovsiienko1.531111113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113
V. Stukalov10
LSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113LSep 16 · 10:50V. Stukalov1.83117761S. Semenets1.8331111113WSep 16 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.101113113D. Khavanskyi1.6751140WSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151WSep 16 · 06:20V. Stukalov3.0011117113S. Hovorunets1.36691191WSep 15 · 17:10V. Stukalov2.10118113163D. Khavanskyi1.67811911142WSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113LSep 15 · 14:10V. Stukalov1.8311611332S. Semenets1.83411611113WSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 15 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.63412100S. Hovorunets1.441114123
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