TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148564
Played Sep 18Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114117––––
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 56.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 15–22 Kostiantyn Klymenko Vitalii Mukhin has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-22 in 37
Klymenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1375 vs Klymenko 1412
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 80% vs Klymenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 70% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +1 · Klymenko +4
Klymenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.10 / Klymenko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Klymenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13148564
Mukhin2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 27 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Klymenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 112 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin3wins
AwayKlymenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin100%3 of 3
AwayKlymenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S2Mukhin3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mukhin3Klymenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Mukhin1Klymenko2n = 3Klymenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinKlymenkoM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.6−2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 315 vs 439 / 84552.4%52%165 / 315 vs 439 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoMukhin 2.10/Klymenko 1.67
Miss
What we said
54%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin3811511113K. Klymenko21511231
LAug 27 · 10:30V. Mukhin269980K. Klymenko331111113
LJul 20 · 06:00V. Mukhin32791151K. Klymenko3911116113
LJul 13 · 10:30V. Mukhin36711991K. Klymenko4211911113
LJul 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin47161171122K. Klymenko52183119113
LJun 1 · 04:30V. Mukhin195950K. Klymenko331111113
WMay 27 · 09:35V. Mukhin48119116113K. Klymenko4481171172
LMay 23 · 07:30V. Mukhin227870K. Klymenko331111113
WMay 18 · 07:30V. Mukhin341112113K. Klymenko2491050
LJul 17 · 08:50V. Mukhin4899131342K. Klymenko5511111111113
V. Mukhin10
WSep 18 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.281111113V. Stukalov3.503980LSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133WSep 18 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50611116113S. Semenets2.5011661192WSep 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin2.5011117113V. Korniichuk1.50871191WSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231LSep 14 · 10:20V. Mukhin4.50911881S. Skhabitskiy1.1711711113WSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:20V. Mukhin3.509570M. Stetsenko1.281111113WSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632WSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972
K. Klymenko10
WSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031WSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101LSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231WSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 09:50K. Klymenko2.6351060O. Ovsiienko1.441112113LSep 14 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.105990S. Skhabitskiy1.671111113WSep 14 · 06:20K. Klymenko1.361111113M. Stetsenko3.008790LSep 10 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi1.441111113K. Klymenko2.639980
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