TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155063
Played Sep 19Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511117118114––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Melnykov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Volodymyr Melnykov at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 42–41 Volodymyr Melnykov Volodymyr Melnykov has won 41 of their 83 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Melnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-41 in 83
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1354 vs Melnykov 1337
Skhabitskiy
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 20% vs Melnykov 40%
Melnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 30% vs Melnykov 50%
Melnykov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy -2 · Melnykov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 2.00 / Melnykov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Melnykov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13155063
Skhabitskiy2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 91 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Melnykov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 58 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy4wins
AwayMelnykov6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelnykov leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy66.7%2 of 3
AwayMelnykov71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy3Melnykov7n = 10Melnykov took 7 of 10
S2Skhabitskiy8Melnykov2n = 10Skhabitskiy took 8 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy3Melnykov7n = 10Melnykov took 7 of 10
S4Skhabitskiy4Melnykov4n = 8split evenly
S5Skhabitskiy1Melnykov2n = 3Melnykov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyMelnykovS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.3−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 1066 vs 245 / 53344.2%46%471 / 1066 vs 245 / 533Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykovSkhabitskiy 2.00/Melnykov 1.73
Miss
What we said
54%
Melnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 10:50S. Skhabitskiy45511711113V. Melnykov4611911872
LAug 10 · 09:50S. Skhabitskiy35911871V. Melnykov4111811113
LAug 7 · 06:30S. Skhabitskiy51111191192V. Melnykov52138119113
LAug 3 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy25511811V. Melnykov3811511113
LJul 31 · 05:30S. Skhabitskiy2210840V. Melnykov341211113
LJul 27 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy347116101V. Melnykov3711311123
WJul 26 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy331111113V. Melnykov185940
LJul 15 · 10:00S. Skhabitskiy3711212842V. Melnykov518111011113
WJul 5 · 16:30S. Skhabitskiy3851111113V. Melnykov27118351
WJun 28 · 18:00S. Skhabitskiy4011117113V. Melnykov29581151
S. Skhabitskiy10
LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113WSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113LSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113LSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113LSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy1.44111313113O. Ovsiienko2.633111571WSep 15 · 11:05O. Osadchyi1.4411681162S. Skhabitskiy2.63711117113
V. Melnykov10
LSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113LSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.804770V. Melnykov1.911111113LSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450WSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Skhabitskiy
Nothing scheduled
V. Melnykov
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