TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155400
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121012101210––––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 66 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 62.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 10–7 Volodymyr Melnykov Volodymyr Melnykov has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Stetsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Stetsenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1383 vs Melnykov 1337
Stetsenko
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 60% vs Melnykov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 50% vs Melnykov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko +1 · Melnykov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 1.53 / Melnykov 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Stetsenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155400
Stetsenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 117 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it88% 90 of 102
Melnykov2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 53 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko7wins
AwayMelnykov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMelnykov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko6Melnykov4n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S2Stetsenko8Melnykov2n = 10Stetsenko took 8 of 10
S3Stetsenko6Melnykov4n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S4Stetsenko2Melnykov4n = 6Melnykov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoMelnykovS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.632.7+3.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 851 vs 245 / 53351.9%46%442 / 851 vs 245 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoStetsenko 1.53/Melnykov 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stetsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko361212123V. Melnykov301010100
WSep 13 · 19:00M. Stetsenko331111113V. Melnykov215970
WSep 7 · 07:50M. Stetsenko3741111113V. Melnykov28116651
LSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko28611831V. Melnykov3611311113
WAug 26 · 16:00M. Stetsenko50176511113V. Melnykov54151111892
LAug 24 · 12:50M. Stetsenko346111161V. Melnykov3811313113
LAug 7 · 07:30M. Stetsenko29114681V. Melnykov3411111113
WAug 3 · 07:20M. Stetsenko351111133V. Melnykov2669110
WJul 31 · 11:00M. Stetsenko331111113V. Melnykov229580
WJul 27 · 11:20M. Stetsenko51811119123V. Melnykov38111511102
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113WSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113WSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192LSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113LSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113WSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 11:20M. Stetsenko1.735830O. Ovsiienko2.001111113WSep 14 · 09:20S. Skhabitskiy1.83111141052M. Stetsenko1.83891112113
V. Melnykov10
WSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113LSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.804770V. Melnykov1.911111113LSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450WSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113
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