TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13123049
Played Sep 13Finished
Andrii Dekhtiarenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711711––––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Dekhtiarenko to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Dekhtiarenko above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Dekhtiarenko at 62.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Dekhtiarenko 16–9 Volodymyr Melnykov Volodymyr Melnykov has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dekhtiarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Dekhtiarenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dekhtiarenko 1356 vs Melnykov 1322
Dekhtiarenko
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Melnykov 60%
Melnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Melnykov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dekhtiarenko -2 · Melnykov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dekhtiarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dekhtiarenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDekhtiarenko 1.80 / Melnykov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dekhtiarenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13123049
Dekhtiarenko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 10 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Melnykov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 52 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDekhtiarenko5wins
AwayMelnykov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDekhtiarenko80%4 of 5
AwayMelnykov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dekhtiarenko5Melnykov5n = 10split evenly
S2Dekhtiarenko8Melnykov2n = 10Dekhtiarenko took 8 of 10
S3Dekhtiarenko7Melnykov3n = 10Dekhtiarenko took 7 of 10
S4Dekhtiarenko5Melnykov2n = 7Dekhtiarenko took 5 of 7
S5Dekhtiarenko0Melnykov5n = 5Melnykov took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDekhtiarenkoMelnykovD − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.9+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDekhtiarenkoMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 145 vs 246 / 53343.5%46.2%63 / 145 vs 246 / 533Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DekhtiarenkoDekhtiarenko 1.80/Melnykov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dekhtiarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko45117111242V. Melnykov549111310113
LMay 10 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko43611115102V. Melnykov44114611123
LJan 31 · 21:50A. Dekhtiarenko3431111812V. Melnykov49118811113
WJun 6 · 06:30A. Dekhtiarenko47111411113V. Melnykov41916791
WMay 31 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko4071111113V. Melnykov33118951
WMay 29 · 09:30A. Dekhtiarenko331111113V. Melnykov219570
LMay 25 · 10:50A. Dekhtiarenko4981291192V. Melnykov481110115113
LMay 24 · 20:20A. Dekhtiarenko4671171292V. Melnykov521191110113
WApr 25 · 07:00A. Dekhtiarenko391117113V. Melnykov2771550
WApr 6 · 05:50A. Dekhtiarenko341111122V. Melnykov2055100
A. Dekhtiarenko10
LSep 13 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.573711121M. Stetsenko2.2511118143LSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161LAug 2 · 16:30A. Dekhtiarenko2.1010920A. Kurtenko1.671211113WAug 2 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.73118118103D. Ponomarenko2.0011191142LAug 2 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.80101160O. Ovsiienko1.911213113WAug 2 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.001112113M. Stetsenko1.7371090LJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.9111641122A. Kurtenko1.80411115113WJun 7 · 19:20A. Dekhtiarenko1.44511911113O. Leonenko2.6311911682LJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.67117111242V. Melnykov2.109111310113
V. Melnykov10
LSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450WSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113WJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.67117111242V. Melnykov2.109111310113
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