TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12347885
Played Aug 2Finished
Andrii Dekhtiarenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911211––––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kurtenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Dekhtiarenko above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 55 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Andrii Kurtenko at 54.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Dekhtiarenko 3–5 Andrii Kurtenko Andrii Dekhtiarenko has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dekhtiarenko 1375 vs Kurtenko 1339
Dekhtiarenko
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dekhtiarenko 60% vs Kurtenko 20%
Dekhtiarenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Kurtenko 20%
Dekhtiarenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dekhtiarenko +1 · Kurtenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDekhtiarenko 2.10 / Kurtenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kurtenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12347885
Dekhtiarenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 6 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Kurtenko1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 145 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it89% 89 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it78% 112 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDekhtiarenko3wins
AwayKurtenko5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKurtenko leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDekhtiarenko75%3 of 4
AwayKurtenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dekhtiarenko4Kurtenko4n = 8split evenly
S2Dekhtiarenko2Kurtenko6n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S3Dekhtiarenko3Kurtenko5n = 8Kurtenko took 5 of 8
S4Dekhtiarenko4Kurtenko2n = 6Dekhtiarenko took 4 of 6
S5Dekhtiarenko1Kurtenko2n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricDekhtiarenkoKurtenkoD − KBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.137.6−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDekhtiarenkoKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 176 vs 297 / 57245.5%51.9%80 / 176 vs 297 / 572Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoDekhtiarenko 2.10/Kurtenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko3411641122A. Kurtenko42411115113
WMay 25 · 08:50A. Dekhtiarenko4211911113A. Kurtenko33911671
LMay 24 · 16:20A. Dekhtiarenko199280A. Kurtenko331111113
LMay 17 · 16:20A. Dekhtiarenko48771111122A. Kurtenko49111176143
LMar 1 · 17:20A. Dekhtiarenko185760A. Kurtenko331111113
LMar 15 · 17:20A. Dekhtiarenko37781391A. Kurtenko44111111113
WJan 25 · 15:50A. Dekhtiarenko501111711103A. Kurtenko4283111372
WJan 4 · 21:20A. Dekhtiarenko4111118113A. Kurtenko25291131
A. Dekhtiarenko10
LSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161WAug 2 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.73118118103D. Ponomarenko2.0011191142LAug 2 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.80101160O. Ovsiienko1.911213113WAug 2 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.001112113M. Stetsenko1.7371090LJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.9111641122A. Kurtenko1.80411115113WJun 7 · 19:20A. Dekhtiarenko1.44511911113O. Leonenko2.6311911682LJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.67117111242V. Melnykov2.109111310113LJun 7 · 16:20A. Dekhtiarenko2.201125101S. Skhabitskiy1.6151111123WJun 7 · 14:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.50712713113O. Osadchyi2.501110111172
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 12:50A. Kurtenko1.73101090E. Populovskyi2.001212113LSep 13 · 10:50A. Martyniuk1.33111179123A. Kurtenko3.25581111102WSep 13 · 08:50O. Osadchyi1.61114671A. Kurtenko2.2061111113LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko1.831194111S. Solomko1.8341111133LSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921WSep 12 · 18:00A. Kurtenko1.8314102V. Smyk1.831290LSep 12 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.6791111892O. Leonenko2.10118611113LSep 12 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.10330O. Tymofeev1.6711112WSep 12 · 13:30A. Kurtenko1.8071311113E. Populovskyi1.911111851WJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.9111641122A. Kurtenko1.80411115113
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