TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12348092
Played Aug 2Finished
Andrii Dekhtiarenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115911116––
Daniil Novakov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeDaniil Novakov to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Dekhtiarenko above · Daniil Novakov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Daniil Novakov at 57.5%
73 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dekhtiarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dekhtiarenko 1359 vs Novakov 1377
Novakov
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Novakov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Novakov 60%
Novakov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dekhtiarenko -1 · Novakov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dekhtiarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dekhtiarenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDekhtiarenko 1.73 / Novakov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dekhtiarenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12348092
Dekhtiarenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 12 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Novakov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDekhtiarenkoNovakovBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 177 vs 124 / 26845.2%46.3%80 / 177 vs 124 / 268Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DekhtiarenkoDekhtiarenko 1.73/Novakov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dekhtiarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dekhtiarenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Dekhtiarenko10
LSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133LAug 2 · 16:30A. Dekhtiarenko2.1010920A. Kurtenko1.671211113WAug 2 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.73118118103D. Ponomarenko2.0011191142LAug 2 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.80101160O. Ovsiienko1.911213113WAug 2 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.001112113M. Stetsenko1.7371090LJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.9111641122A. Kurtenko1.80411115113WJun 7 · 19:20A. Dekhtiarenko1.44511911113O. Leonenko2.6311911682LJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.67117111242V. Melnykov2.109111310113LJun 7 · 16:20A. Dekhtiarenko2.201125101S. Skhabitskiy1.6151111123WJun 7 · 14:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.50712713113O. Osadchyi2.501110111172
D. Novakov10
WAug 2 · 17:00D. Novakov2.001111113D. Ponomarenko1.734780LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novakov2.6311860M. Stetsenko1.441311113WAug 2 · 14:30D. Novakov2.501111123A. Kurtenko1.5067100LAug 2 · 12:30D. Novakov3.40101180O. Ovsiienko1.301213113LJul 27 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113D. Novakov2.634950WJul 27 · 10:50D. Novakov2.1011411143O. Mytsyk1.677114121WJul 27 · 09:50D. Novakov1.8311912113V. Melnykov1.837111091WJul 27 · 08:20D. Novakov2.0011711113V. Smyk1.73811791LJul 27 · 06:20D. Novakov2.503990M. Stetsenko1.501111113WJul 24 · 11:00V. Stukalov1.83911761D. Novakov1.8311811113
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