TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12306597
Played Jul 27Finished
Daniil Novakov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1179111210119––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeDaniil Novakov to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniil Novakov above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Daniil Novakov at 61.8%
80 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Melnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Novakov 1366 vs Melnykov 1377
Melnykov
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novakov 60% vs Melnykov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novakov 70% vs Melnykov 50%
Novakov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novakov +1 · Melnykov +3
Melnykov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novakov) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovakov 1.83 / Melnykov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Novakov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12306597
Novakov1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Melnykov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakovMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 261 vs 249 / 54146%46%120 / 261 vs 249 / 541Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakovNovakov 1.83/Melnykov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Novakov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novakov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Novakov10
LAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161WAug 2 · 17:00D. Novakov2.001111113D. Ponomarenko1.734780LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novakov2.6311860M. Stetsenko1.441311113WAug 2 · 14:30D. Novakov2.501111123A. Kurtenko1.5067100LAug 2 · 12:30D. Novakov3.40101180O. Ovsiienko1.301213113LJul 27 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113D. Novakov2.634950WJul 27 · 10:50D. Novakov2.1011411143O. Mytsyk1.677114121WJul 27 · 08:20D. Novakov2.0011711113V. Smyk1.73811791LJul 27 · 06:20D. Novakov2.503990M. Stetsenko1.501111113WJul 24 · 11:00V. Stukalov1.83911761D. Novakov1.8311811113
V. Melnykov10
LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450WSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113
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