TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12347950
Played Aug 2Finished
Daniil Novakov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117118––––
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeDaniil Novakov to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniil Novakov above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Daniil Novakov at 66.2%
52 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ponomarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Novakov 1365 vs Ponomarenko 1311
Novakov
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novakov 40% vs Ponomarenko 60%
Ponomarenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novakov 60% vs Ponomarenko 30%
Novakov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novakov -1 · Ponomarenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Novakov) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovakov 2.00 / Ponomarenko 1.73
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Novakov)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12347950
Novakov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 53
Ponomarenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakovPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 267 vs 12 / 4646.1%26.1%123 / 267 vs 12 / 46Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakovNovakov 2.00/Ponomarenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Novakov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Novakov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Novakov10
LAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novakov2.6311860M. Stetsenko1.441311113WAug 2 · 14:30D. Novakov2.501111123A. Kurtenko1.5067100LAug 2 · 12:30D. Novakov3.40101180O. Ovsiienko1.301213113LJul 27 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113D. Novakov2.634950WJul 27 · 10:50D. Novakov2.1011411143O. Mytsyk1.677114121WJul 27 · 09:50D. Novakov1.8311912113V. Melnykov1.837111091WJul 27 · 08:20D. Novakov2.0011711113V. Smyk1.73811791LJul 27 · 06:20D. Novakov2.503990M. Stetsenko1.501111113WJul 24 · 11:00V. Stukalov1.83911761D. Novakov1.8311811113
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.