TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12001361
Played Jun 7Finished
Andrii Dekhtiarenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511119911116118
Oleksandr Leonenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAndrii Dekhtiarenko above · Oleksandr Leonenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8
92 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Dekhtiarenko 3–1 Oleksandr Leonenko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dekhtiarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDekhtiarenko 1.44 / Leonenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Leonenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12001361
Dekhtiarenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 20 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Leonenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDekhtiarenko3wins
AwayLeonenko1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderDekhtiarenko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dekhtiarenko2Leonenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Dekhtiarenko3Leonenko1n = 4Dekhtiarenko took 3 of 4
S3Dekhtiarenko2Leonenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Dekhtiarenko4Leonenko0n = 4Dekhtiarenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDekhtiarenkoLeonenkoD − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.836.0+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDekhtiarenkoLeonenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 414 vs 545 / 109248.3%49.9%200 / 414 vs 545 / 1092Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DekhtiarenkoDekhtiarenko 1.44/Leonenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Dekhtiarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dekhtiarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 25 · 05:50A. Dekhtiarenko—3O. Leonenko—1
WMay 24 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko—3O. Leonenko—1
LNov 9 · 18:20A. Dekhtiarenko—2O. Leonenko—3
WOct 26 · 18:50A. Dekhtiarenko—3O. Leonenko—1
A. Dekhtiarenko10
LSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161LAug 2 · 16:30A. Dekhtiarenko2.1010920A. Kurtenko1.671211113WAug 2 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.73118118103D. Ponomarenko2.0011191142LAug 2 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.80101160O. Ovsiienko1.911213113WAug 2 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.001112113M. Stetsenko1.7371090LJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.9111641122A. Kurtenko1.80411115113LJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.67117111242V. Melnykov2.109111310113LJun 7 · 16:20A. Dekhtiarenko2.201125101S. Skhabitskiy1.6151111123WJun 7 · 14:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.50712713113O. Osadchyi2.501110111172
O. Leonenko10
WSep 12 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.20411111103S. Solomko1.6111511982WSep 12 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.6791111892O. Leonenko2.10118611113LSep 12 · 14:30V. Smyk2.2511311343O. Leonenko1.5791161112WSep 12 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.5011211113O. Tymofeev1.28411581LSep 11 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.00116971E. Populovskyi1.7391111113LSep 11 · 16:30A. Kovalenko2.20911119143O. Leonenko1.61116911122WSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.10111168133S. Solomko1.67661111112LSep 11 · 14:30V. Smyk2.381181133O. Leonenko1.53611801LSep 11 · 13:00O. Leonenko3.251111641O. Tymofeev1.3391311113LSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113
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