TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12347890
Played Aug 2Finished
Andrii Dekhtiarenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111811119811104
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Dekhtiarenko to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Dekhtiarenko above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-4
Point 84 set 5, 10-4 — our read held Andrii Dekhtiarenko at 59.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Dekhtiarenko 1–0 Dmytro Ponomarenko Dmytro Ponomarenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dekhtiarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dekhtiarenko 1365 vs Ponomarenko 1324
Dekhtiarenko
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Ponomarenko 60%
Ponomarenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dekhtiarenko 40% vs Ponomarenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dekhtiarenko -1 · Ponomarenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dekhtiarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dekhtiarenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDekhtiarenko 1.73 / Ponomarenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dekhtiarenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12347890
Dekhtiarenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 12 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Ponomarenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 10 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDekhtiarenko1wins
AwayPonomarenko0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDekhtiarenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDekhtiarenkoPonomarenkoD − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.036.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDekhtiarenkoPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 176 vs 12 / 4645.5%26.1%80 / 176 vs 12 / 46Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DekhtiarenkoDekhtiarenko 1.73/Ponomarenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dekhtiarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dekhtiarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 2 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko48118118103D. Ponomarenko3611191142
A. Dekhtiarenko10
LSep 13 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.2581113121O. Ovsiienko1.57111311133WAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161LAug 2 · 16:30A. Dekhtiarenko2.1010920A. Kurtenko1.671211113LAug 2 · 13:30A. Dekhtiarenko1.80101160O. Ovsiienko1.911213113WAug 2 · 12:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.001112113M. Stetsenko1.7371090LJun 7 · 20:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.9111641122A. Kurtenko1.80411115113WJun 7 · 19:20A. Dekhtiarenko1.44511911113O. Leonenko2.6311911682LJun 7 · 17:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.67117111242V. Melnykov2.109111310113LJun 7 · 16:20A. Dekhtiarenko2.201125101S. Skhabitskiy1.6151111123WJun 7 · 14:50A. Dekhtiarenko1.50712713113O. Osadchyi2.501110111172
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113
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