TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411411119311––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 64 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 16–6 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:34What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1373 vs Ovsiienko 1402
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 60% vs Ovsiienko 80%
Ovsiienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Ovsiienko 60%
Ovsiienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy +2 · Ovsiienko +4
Ovsiienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Skhabitskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.73 / Ovsiienko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161716
Skhabitskiy1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Ovsiienko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 76 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkhabitskiy6wins
AwayOvsiienko4wins
Skhabitskiy leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkhabitskiy100%5 of 5
AwayOvsiienko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skhabitskiy5Ovsiienko5n = 10split evenly
S2Skhabitskiy7Ovsiienko3n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S3Skhabitskiy5Ovsiienko5n = 10split evenly
S4Skhabitskiy2Ovsiienko1n = 3Skhabitskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkhabitskiyOvsiienkoS − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.328.8+2.5per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 1067 vs 449 / 87044.1%51.6%471 / 1067 vs 449 / 870Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiySkhabitskiy 1.73/Ovsiienko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy227870O. Ovsiienko331111113
WSep 17 · 05:50S. Skhabitskiy48111313113O. Ovsiienko363111571
LSep 14 · 12:20S. Skhabitskiy186930O. Ovsiienko331111113
WAug 30 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy331111113O. Ovsiienko213990
WAug 24 · 09:50S. Skhabitskiy331111113O. Ovsiienko218760
LAug 23 · 12:40S. Skhabitskiy314111151O. Ovsiienko3911413113
WAug 21 · 05:05S. Skhabitskiy351311113O. Ovsiienko2611960
WAug 20 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy331111113O. Ovsiienko113620
LAug 19 · 13:30S. Skhabitskiy177820O. Ovsiienko331111113
WAug 17 · 11:20S. Skhabitskiy4371312113O. Ovsiienko3511111031
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 20 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0011511333V. Smyk1.7341191122WSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113WSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113LSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113LSep 17 · 08:50S. Skhabitskiy2.00117651O. Mytsyk1.7391111113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113LSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930LSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580WSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112
Upcoming Matches
S. Skhabitskiy
Nothing scheduled
O. Ovsiienko
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