TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181412115––––
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 61 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Skhabitskiy 1–0 Dmytro Ponomarenko Dmytro Ponomarenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skhabitskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skhabitskiy 1353 vs Ponomarenko 1392
Ponomarenko
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skhabitskiy 60% vs Ponomarenko 40%
Skhabitskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skhabitskiy 40% vs Ponomarenko 60%
Ponomarenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skhabitskiy -1 · Ponomarenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.73 / Ponomarenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13162088
Skhabitskiy1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Ponomarenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkhabitskiy1wins
AwayPonomarenko0wins
Skhabitskiy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkhabitskiyPonomarenkoS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.041.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkhabitskiyPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 1068 vs 32 / 7744.1%41.6%471 / 1068 vs 32 / 77Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiySkhabitskiy 1.73/Ponomarenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 3 · 08:20S. Skhabitskiy4412118133D. Ponomarenko4110911111
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113LSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0011511333V. Smyk1.7341191122WSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113WSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113
D. Ponomarenko10
LSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592
Upcoming Matches
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