TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Nechai
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7114111210911––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Nechai above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:57What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skhabitskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Nechai 40% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
Skhabitskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nechai 50% vs Skhabitskiy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nechai -1 · Skhabitskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNechai 2.00 / Skhabitskiy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13165903
Nechai2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skhabitskiy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNechaiSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 472 / 106850%44.2%5 / 10 vs 472 / 1068Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyNechai 2.00/Skhabitskiy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skhabitskiy won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Nechai10
LSep 20 · 16:29V. Nechai1.91611111062V. Smyk1.80112912113WSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981LSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113LSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WFeb 5 · 10:20D. Khairov—41111792V. Nechai—118911113WFeb 5 · 08:20L. Dynaburg—114421V. Nechai—41111113LFeb 5 · 07:20V. Melnykov—511612113V. Nechai—114111082WJan 31 · 13:20V. Nechai—1211412113L. Dynaburg—1013111042WJan 31 · 11:20A. Dekhtiarenko—21080V. Nechai—1112113LJan 31 · 10:20V. Nechai—91011101A. Novikov—11128123
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0011511333V. Smyk1.7341191122WSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113WSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113
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