Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts Sep 21, 05:35Scheduled

Dmytro Ponomarenko

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 3

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

0 – 2

All 2 meetings · 0.0%

Last 2 · 0–2Same side

Sergii Skhabitskiy

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 2

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Dmytro Ponomarenko arrives off 3 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 13h before this match

Skhabitskiy beat Ponomarenko 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPonomarenko 2.38 / Skhabitskiy 1.53

Setka Cup · #13166313

Ponomarenko2.38

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog27% won 12 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22

Skhabitskiy1.53

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite55% won 98 of 179

Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 2 meetings

HomePonomarenko0wins

AwaySkhabitskiy2wins

Skhabitskiy leads 2–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away1

0–3Straight, away1

These 2 meetings

MetricPonomarenkoSkhabitskiyP − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match33.040.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPonomarenkoSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 80 vs 473 / 106740%44.3%32 / 80 vs 473 / 1067Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match