TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012411––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Ponomarenko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 61 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 55.8%
61 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1376 vs Lipeiko 1437
Lipeiko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 40% vs Lipeiko 60%
Lipeiko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 50% vs Lipeiko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko -2 · Lipeiko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 2.10 / Lipeiko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161928
Ponomarenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Lipeiko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it77% 47 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 79 vs 248 / 51640.5%48.1%32 / 79 vs 248 / 516Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoPonomarenko 2.10/Lipeiko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lipeiko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Ponomarenko10
LSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 15:30V. Smyk2.10711781O. Lipeiko1.6711711113WSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113LSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890WSep 19 · 18:30O. Lipeiko1.7311811123S. Baranskyi2.006119101LSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113
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